Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
