Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
