Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
