Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
