Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
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