Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
-0.51) 
1.08) 
