With Exeter suffering a slight wobble in their last two games, and Swindon being so impressive away from home, we can see the visitors getting a point from this big game at the top of the League Two table.
Neither will want to risk a defeat so it should be a fairly tight encounter, and therefore we can see the two sides cancelling each other and finishing level on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
