Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.17) 
