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League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
CU

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Colchester

Sterry (82')
Pruti (13'), Featherstone (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelleher (5'), Sterry (87' og.)
Tchamadeu (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 2-1 Colchester United

Although it was not so long ago when Colchester were on a winning streak, that has now changed. Hartlepool's last two defeats have come to form teams, and we feel that they may be able to battle their way to a narrow success in front of their own supporters this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawColchester United
31.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 28.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 39.37% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.92% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.46% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)61.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6% (-0.012 -0.01)81.39% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (-0.02 -0.02)72.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 31.82%
    Colchester United 39.37%
    Draw 28.81%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.81%
0-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-3 Stoke
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-3 Harrogate
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Mansfield
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Colchester
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-3 Colchester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Swindon
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two


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