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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
BC

MK Dons
4 - 1
Bradford

Tomlinson (4'), Payne (31'), Dean (59'), Gilbey (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gilliead (17')
Taylor (30'), McDonald (39'), Ridehalgh (52'), Stubbs (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Bradford City

These two sides will still hope to push for a play-off spot this season, with Bradford certainly looking more likely to achieve that based on current form. While MK Dons surely possess too much quality for their winless streak to endure much longer, we can envisage a score draw between these sides on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBradford City
37.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 26.46% (-0.2 -0.2) 36.07% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (0.85899999999999 0.86)52.15% (-0.856 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (0.738 0.74)73.86% (-0.733 -0.73)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.354 0.35)27.01% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.46 0.46)62.37% (-0.456 -0.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.59500000000001 0.6)27.83% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.753 0.75)63.42% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.47%
    Bradford City 36.07%
    Draw 26.46%
MK DonsDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-3 Walsall
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two


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