Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
