Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.61) 
