SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.24% ( 0.59) | 23.13% ( -0.16) | 39.63% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 64.8% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.45% ( 0.87) | 36.55% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.3% ( 0.95) | 58.7% ( -0.95) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( 0.67) | 20.05% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.72% ( 1.07) | 52.28% ( -1.07) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.18) | 18.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( 0.3) | 50.47% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 39.63% |
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