Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
