Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 56.51%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Crawley Town
56.51% ( 0.3)	19.85% ( -0.13)	23.64% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 68.42% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.73% (

0.45)

28.27% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.92% (

0.55)

49.08% (

-0.55)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.77% (

0.22)

10.23% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.45% (

0.49)

33.55% (

-0.49)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

0.13)

23.78% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

0.19)

57.94% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Notts County 56.51%

Crawley Town 23.64%

Draw 19.85%

Notts County	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.72% Total : 56.51%	1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.85%	1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.64%