Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.