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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
ST

Oldham
1 - 3
Swindon

Piergianni (90')
Bowden (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McKirdy (32'), Simpson (79', 90+4')
Iandolo (37'), McKirdy (71')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Oldham Athletic and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawSwindon Town
27.32%24.64%48.04%
Both teams to score 55.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.52%47.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31%69.69%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63%31.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26%67.74%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18%19.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1%51.9%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 27.32%
    Swindon Town 48.04%
    Draw 24.64%
Oldham AthleticDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.32%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 10.06%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 8.14%
1-3 @ 5.09%
0-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 2.95%
1-4 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 48.04%

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