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League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
NC

Salford City
0 - 2
Notts County


Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Salford City 0-1 Notts County

Notts County have started the season very well, while Salford City have struggled in their recent matches, losing their last three games on the spin. As such, we expect a narrow victory for the visitors, who will go top of the table providing they do not lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawNotts County
26.57% (-0.206 -0.21) 23.5% (-0.093 -0.09) 49.93% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99% (0.25 0.25)43% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59% (0.249 0.25)65.4% (-0.253 -0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)29.6% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.205 0.2)17.34% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (0.36 0.36)47.72% (-0.365 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 26.57%
    Notts County 49.93%
    Draw 23.5%
Salford CityDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 26.57%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.6% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Salford City
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-1 Leeds (9-8 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 3-4 Salford City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-0 Notts County
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two


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