Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
