Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
