SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
54.16% ( -0.19) | 22.04% ( 0.06) | 23.8% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.36% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.19% ( -0.14) | 38.8% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.88% ( -0.15) | 61.11% ( 0.15) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0.11) | 14.35% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.78% ( -0.21) | 42.22% ( 0.21) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.03) | 29.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 0.03) | 65.53% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
