SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
37.22% ( -0.34) | 22.79% ( -0.04) | 39.98% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.17) | 34.83% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.2% ( 0.19) | 56.8% ( -0.19) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( -0.08) | 19.3% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( -0.14) | 51.05% ( 0.14) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.24) | 18.07% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( 0.4) | 48.98% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.98% |
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