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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
38.63% ( -0.4) | 22.92% ( 0.15) | 38.45% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.58% ( -0.76) | 35.43% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.54% ( -0.84) | 57.46% ( 0.85) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( -0.5) | 18.92% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( -0.84) | 50.42% ( 0.84) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.21) | 19% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.36) | 50.55% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.57% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 38.45% |
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