SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Ajax |
25.45% ( -0.38) | 21.05% ( 0.13) | 53.5% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 65.97% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.7% ( -1.02) | 32.29% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.09% ( -1.2) | 53.91% ( 1.19) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.81) | 24.73% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( -1.14) | 59.28% ( 1.14) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.65% ( -0.27) | 12.35% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.82% ( -0.57) | 38.18% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.45% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.5% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
