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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.9% ( 0.01) | 20.27% ( 0.01) | 58.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.66% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.04) | 33.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.14% ( -0.05) | 55.86% ( 0.04) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.01) | 29.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% ( -0.01) | 65.23% ( 0.01) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( -0.02) | 11.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.82% ( -0.04) | 36.18% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 20.9% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.8% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.83% |
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