SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
29.86% ( 0.13) | 24.68% ( 0.07) | 45.46% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.27) | 46.14% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( -0.25) | 68.44% ( 0.25) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.04) | 28.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0.05) | 64.71% ( 0.05) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.2) | 20.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( -0.32) | 52.79% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.46% |
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