SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
49.34% ( -0.38) | 25.09% ( 0.12) | 25.56% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( -0.28) | 50.64% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( -0.25) | 72.54% ( 0.25) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.27) | 20.54% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( -0.43) | 53.04% ( 0.43) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 0.06) | 34.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 0.07) | 71.17% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.56% |
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