Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayis Stadyumu
We said: Ankaragucu 1-1 Kasimpasa
Expect a tight affair, with both sides desperate for points. Ankaragucu have recorded a lot of draws in recent matches while Kasimpasa have also looked solid in their last two away games.
The home side have recorded more draws than any other side in the division this season, and we think this will be another stalemate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kasimpasa |
46.18% ( -0.11) | 24.62% ( 0.01) | 29.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.02) |
| 53.79% ( 0.01) | 46.21% ( -0.01) |
| 31.5% ( 0) | 68.5% ( -0.01) |
| 79.91% ( -0.04) | 20.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.07) | 52.33% ( 0.07) |
| 70.66% ( 0.07) | 29.34% ( -0.07) |
