SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 79.52%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 7.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
79.52% ( 0.07) | 12.79% ( -0.01) | 7.68% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.2) | 28.79% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.25) | 49.71% ( 0.25) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.35% ( -0.03) | 5.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.13% ( -0.08) | 21.87% ( 0.08) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.3) | 44.43% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.52% ( -0.25) | 80.48% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.69% Total : 79.52% | 1-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.03% Total : 12.79% | 1-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.68% |
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