Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
May 17, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
Result |
Everton Ladies | Draw | Arsenal Women |
13.21% ( 1.03) | 18.32% ( 0.62) | 68.47% ( -1.65) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 1.01) |
60.73% ( -0.29) | 39.27% ( 0.29) |
38.39% ( -0.3) | 61.61% ( 0.3) |
58.58% ( 1.43) | 41.41% ( -1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.08% ( 1.24) | 77.92% ( -1.24) |
89.54% ( -0.49) | 10.46% ( 0.48) |