Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 34.41%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (14.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.
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