Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
-0.44) 
0.05) 
