Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.05) 
