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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
37.84% ( -3.79) | 26.33% ( 1.19) | 35.83% ( 2.6) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -3.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( -4.75) | 51.63% ( 4.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( -4.29) | 73.41% ( 4.29) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -4.12) | 26.56% ( 4.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( -5.8) | 61.77% ( 5.8) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.71) | 27.73% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( -0.91) | 63.29% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.56)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.74)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.53)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.43)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.31)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.67) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 1.3)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.47)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 1.51) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.87)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.83% |
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