SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-4 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
5.31% ( -1.13) | 10.01% ( -1.14) | 84.67% ( 2.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -2.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.87) | 24.24% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.08% ( 1.15) | 43.92% ( -1.15) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.62% ( -2.71) | 47.38% ( 2.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.23% ( -2.1) | 82.77% ( 2.1) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.02% ( 0.49) | 3.98% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.19% ( 1.56) | 16.81% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.21% Total : 5.31% | 1-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.85% Total : 10.01% | 0-3 @ 10.53% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 8.49% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 7.87% ( -0.18)1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.45)1-4 @ 6.34% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 5.47% ( 0.65)1-5 @ 4.09% ( 0.2)0-6 @ 2.94% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.15)1-6 @ 2.2% ( 0.18)2-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)0-7 @ 1.35% ( 0.25)1-7 @ 1.01% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.35% Total : 84.67% |
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