SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
66.55% ( 0.1) | 18.19% ( -0.02) | 15.26% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.14% ( -0.05) | 33.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.29% ( -0.05) | 55.71% ( 0.06) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( 0.02) | 9.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.26% ( 0.03) | 31.74% ( -0.02) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.12) | 35.12% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( -0.13) | 71.87% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.55% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.19% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.26% |
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