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CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
JN

Canada
2 - 3
Jamaica

Davies (25'), Kone (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (62', 66'), Reid (78' pen.)
Nicholson (54'), Lowe (58'), Gray (83')
Gray (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Jamaica (Canada advance 4-1 on aggregate)

With Eustaquio in the midfield, the Canadians seem to be able to unlock opposing defences more efficiently, and facing an inconsistent backline like Jamaica, we believe Canada will be able to find a way through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawJamaica
59.4% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02) 22.48% (0.173 0.17) 18.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.815 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.81% (-0.947 -0.95)48.19% (0.95200000000001 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (-0.873 -0.87)70.35% (0.879 0.88)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)15.86% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (-0.611 -0.61)45.05% (0.616 0.62)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.73 -0.73)40.4% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.671 -0.67)77.02% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Canada 59.39%
    Jamaica 18.13%
    Draw 22.48%
CanadaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.67% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 59.39%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.249 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 18.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Canada
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-2 Canada (3-2 pen.)
Monday, July 10 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Cuba
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Canada
Sunday, July 2 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Guadeloupe
Wednesday, June 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Haiti 2-3 Jamaica
Monday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-4 Jamaica
Friday, October 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 2-2 Haiti
Wednesday, September 13 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 9 at 2.10am in CONCACAF Nations League


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