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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 12am UK
BMO Field

Canada
2 - 2
Guadeloupe

Cavallini (49'), Laryea (70')
Cavallini (44'), Vitoria (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ambrose (23'), Russell-Rowe (90+3' og.)
Phaeton (62'), Gravillon (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Guadeloupe

While this is not the most talented Canadian squad, they still have plenty of quality available at this competition along with some raw talent, and we believe Guadeloupe will struggle in their build-up as many players on that squad have not competed at an event as big as this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
54.45% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 23.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.022000000000002 0.02)70.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.69% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)73.47% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Canada 54.45%
    Guadeloupe 21.81%
    Draw 23.73%
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-2 Canada
Friday, June 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 1-2 Morocco
Thursday, December 1 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Croatia 4-1 Canada
Sunday, November 27 at 4pm in World Cup
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 0-1 Antigua
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-1 Guadeloupe
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 1-0 Guadeloupe
Monday, June 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 2-1 Cuba
Friday, June 3 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League


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