SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
52.83% ( -1.33) | 20.49% ( 0.3) | 26.68% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 69.47% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.55) | 28.31% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.68) | 49.13% ( 0.68) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( -0.53) | 11.2% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.28% ( -1.19) | 35.72% ( 1.19) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( 0.35) | 21.77% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( 0.54) | 54.96% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.11)4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.68% |
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