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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
52.44% ( -0.1) | 21.94% ( 0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( 0.04) | 36.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.37% ( 0.04) | 58.63% ( -0.05) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0.02) | 14.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.26% ( -0.04) | 41.74% ( 0.03) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( 0.09) | 26.86% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( 0.12) | 62.17% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.62% |
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