Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.08) 
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