SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 85.44%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 4.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 4-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shenzhen |
85.44% ( -0.26) | 10.06% ( 0.39) | 4.5% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.88% ( -3.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.44% ( -3.25) | 29.56% ( 3.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.34% ( -4.05) | 50.66% ( 4.06) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.23% ( -0.6) | 4.77% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.71% ( -1.87) | 19.29% ( 1.87) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.02% ( -3.28) | 54.98% ( 3.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.13% ( -2.06) | 87.87% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 3-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 12.14% ( 1.26)4-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 7.98% ( 1.13)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.44)5-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.43)6-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.3)6-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.3)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.32)7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.25)Other @ 3.52% Total : 85.43% | 1-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.49% Total : 10.06% | 0-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.5% Total : 4.5% |
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