Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
