Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
