Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
