SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
36.76% ( -0.01) | 28.38% ( 0.01) | 34.86% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.04) | 59.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% ( -0.03) | 79.99% ( 0.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.03) | 31.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -0.03) | 67.43% ( 0.03) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.02) | 32.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( -0.02) | 68.82% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.86% |
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