SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
52.33% ( -0.06) | 27.2% ( -0.02) | 20.47% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.91% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.12) | 62.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( 0.08) | 82.02% ( -0.09) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.02) | 24.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( 0.04) | 58.49% ( -0.04) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.95% ( 0.15) | 46.05% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.24% ( 0.11) | 81.76% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.47% |
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