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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stora Valla

Degerfors
0 - 2
Varnamo


Korac (38'), Mammar Chaouche (85'), Orqvist (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ademi (25'), Nasstrom (81')
Grozdanic (57'), Zeljkovic (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Degerfors 1-1 Varnamo

With both teams currently on course to achieve their primary aim of survival, we can envisage them adopting a safety first approach in this match. Degerfors have been conceding far too many goals so far this season, so it would be little surprise to see them attempt to tighten things up. We are a predicting a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
DegerforsDrawVarnamo
39.98% (-6.519 -6.52) 26.3% (1.025 1.03) 33.72% (5.491 5.49)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-0.796 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-2.174 -2.17)51.74% (2.171 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-1.919 -1.92)73.51% (1.915 1.92)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-4.112 -4.11)25.44% (4.107 4.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-5.978 -5.98)60.26% (5.974 5.97)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (2.691 2.69)29.07% (-2.696 -2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (3.204 3.2)64.99% (-3.209 -3.21)
Score Analysis
    Degerfors 39.97%
    Varnamo 33.72%
    Draw 26.29%
DegerforsDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.715 -0.72)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-1.159 -1.16)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.87 -0.87)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-1.004 -1)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.326 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.508 -0.51)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.62 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.14% (1.366 1.37)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.842 0.84)
0-2 @ 5.64% (1.188 1.19)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.55 0.55)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.621 0.62)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Degerfors
Monday, June 5 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 1-1 Varbergs
Monday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 2-2 Hammarby
Thursday, May 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 2-1 AIK
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hacken 6-1 Degerfors
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, June 4 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 0-2 Varnamo
Monday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 0-1 Kalmar
Monday, May 22 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 3-1 Varbergs
Tuesday, May 9 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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