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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2023 at 2.06am UK
Red Bull Arena
CR

El Salvador
0 - 0
Costa Rica


Orellana (77')
FT

Nunez (46'), Pablo Vargas (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: El Salvador 0-0 Costa Rica

Neither have been all that clinical in the attacking third, and we believe this will be a passive contest between two teams who look indecisive and seem to playing to avoid defeat rather than to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawCosta Rica
47.31% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 26.34% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 26.34% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.96% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.07 -0.07)76.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (-0.112 -0.11)36.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (-0.114 -0.11)72.93% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 47.31%
    Costa Rica 26.34%
    Draw 26.34%
El SalvadorDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.31%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: El Salvador 1-2 Martinique
Monday, June 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: South Korea 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, June 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 6-0 El Salvador
Thursday, June 15 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, June 21 at 1.15am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Guatemala
Friday, June 16 at 4am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Costa Rica
Saturday, March 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-4 Germany
Thursday, December 1 at 7pm in World Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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