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Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 29, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Hampden Park, Glasgow
IC

Falkirk
0 - 3
Inverness

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mckay (7' pen., 57'), MacKay (34')
Deas (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 1-4 Falkirk
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One

We said: Falkirk 1-2 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

A closely-fought semi-final contest is set to be played out between two teams who will be desperate to book their place in the final, but with Inverness boasting slightly better form heading into Saturday's clash, we believe that the second-tier side will edge out their third-tier counterparts to set up a showdown with either Celtic or Rangers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
45.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.84% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (0.024999999999999 0.02)46.95% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)69.2% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.43% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.27% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.022000000000006 0.02)65.23% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 45.3%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 29.84%
    Draw 24.86%
FalkirkDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Alloa 1-4 Falkirk
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-2 Edinburgh
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Falkirk
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Clyde 0-0 Falkirk
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dundee
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 1-2 Inverness
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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