SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
48.58% ( 0.08) | 24.5% ( -0.02) | 26.92% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( 0.05) | 47.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( 0.05) | 69.38% ( -0.05) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.05) | 19.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( 0.09) | 51.32% ( -0.08) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.02) | 31.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( -0.02) | 67.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.92% |
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